
12/3/05
The weather has been very
cool, and today we have rain. The little snow we had
a while ago made it very beautiful up on the higher peaks, and that
made it a little easier to put up with the cold weather and wind.
A lot of people have asked
me whether we're beginning to experience the real estate bust that you
keep hearing about in the press, and the answer is, not hardly. It doesn't
seem to have touched our market.
True, with the weather starting
to turn bad, we've had a little break in the frantic real estate activity
that is the fourth quarter in the mountains. But that's just the usual
seasonal cycle. The numbers aren't in yet, but I think I can say two
things without fear of contradiction. Prices have never been higher,
and we've never been as short on listings.
I think the shortage of listings
is due to the fact that we've had a few very strong years for sales.
While everyone understands intellectually that we need listings to sell,
that you can't just go out and sell without listing anything, it's contrary
to the nature of a real estate agent to stop selling and go listing.
For one thing, the buyers "yell louder" than the listers.
They call on the phone and say that they want to buy something, and
you have to respond to them.
What it all means
to me is that it's a good time to list your property for sale, even
if the fall selling season is over. Many years, we have a good first
quarter - it depends on whether the stock market is doing well - but
I don't see how people who want to sell their property can lose in a
market like we've been having.
What it all means
for buyers is a little different. While it is true that prices have
never been higher, and listings have never been more scarce, it's also
true that interest rates are still near historical lows. That means
that the real price of buying high priced property is not as high as
the sale price implies, since the average loan usually more than doubles
the real cost of ownership. I still don't see any prospect of a price
correction in our market unless and until interest rates rise very sharply,
and there is a school of thought that says it isn't apt to happen even
then, because there seems to be an inexhaustible source of baby boomers
getting ready for retirement. Apparently, every one of them wants to
retire to a resort market that's within a day's drive of their primary
residence, and that's what's driving our market right now.
I'll have more to
say on all this when our fourth quarter numbers are in, but I doubt
the numbers will change any of my essential conclusions.
11/22/05
Along with the rain
and a little snow yesterday, we had a strong north wind, and a lot of
folks had leaks. If you've had them in the past, it might be good to
try to get up soon and check your cabin. I had leaks in places where
I haven't had them in over five years.
11/10/05
The leaves peaked
last Saturday. Since then, they've started to fall. There's still some
color in the woods, but there's no doubt that we're past the peak.
That means that the seasonal
views are starting to come in pretty good, so it's time for people who
want to buy view property to come up and have a look.
I was in Tellico
Plains on Tuesday, and the leaves were still very colorful up there.
In fact, they had better color than our leaves. I'm not sure that will
remain the case this weekend, but a ride on the Cherohala Skyway might
be worth a try, if you missed the color here locally.
11/2/05
Leaf update! The weather has
been absolutely beautiful lately, and there is fairly good color in
the woods. It's always hard to call - and the leaves are late this year
- but I think the peak will either be this weekend or next weekend.
I think my advice would be to come up this weekend, if you want to be
sure not to miss it all. Next weekend may be better, but it may be over
by then, too.
10/27/05
Leaf update! We've had a few
chilly mornings. It was 35° on the porch this morning, and there
was a heavy frost in the valley below. The leaves are still not spectacular,
but I really don't expect them to be, this year. I could be wrong, but
I don't think this will be one of the more exciting years for leaves.
Having said that, the weather has been absolutely beautiful, and there
is some color in the woods. If I had to bet, I'd say that next weekend
will be the peak, unless high winds knock all the leaves off the trees.
10/21/05
Leaf update! We've
had a few cool mornings recently, and there is a little color in the
woods. It looks and feels like fall, but the weather has been beautiful,
especially in the morning. It's been a little warmer for the past few
days, but it's supposed to bounce back cooler for the weekend, which
may lead to more color. It's always hard to predict, but I'm not expecting
a spectacular leaf season. There will probably be more color next weekend,
unless we get high winds from the hurricane that strip a lot of leaves
from the trees. If we don't get that wind, I expect that next weekend
or the weekend after will be the peak.
The Harvest Festival is on
again this weekend at the State Farmer's Market, which is on Old 76
in the vicinity of the drive in theater. From Atlanta, you would turn
right at the first light in Blue Ridge (at June Walker Chevrolet) and
go a mile or so to the market on the right.
10/17/05
Once again, I apologize to
my regular readers for not posting an update recently. I was having
technical problems, and my guru was enjoying some well-deserved convention
time.
All I have time to
say now is that the weather is very nice up here. Fine, fall weather.
This morning, it was about 56° on the porch, and this afternoon,
it's been sunny and in the high sixties. The leaves haven't changed
yet, and it's difficult to tell what the leaf season will be like at
this point. I suspect that it won't be a fantastic fall season, and
that the biggest change in color will be in the next two weeks. I'll
try to keep the site updated, so everyone will know when it happens.
The real estate business
has been very busy lately, as it always is in the fall. The town is
full of people, and there's still one weekend for the Harvest Festival
at the state farmer's market near the old drive in theater on the old
highway. It's crafts and preserves, mostly, and I never miss it. Unfortunately,
I bought the last of the shelled hickory nuts last weekend.
That's about the
news. Hope to see you in town.
9/26/05
I apologize to my regular
readers for not having an update sooner. We're starting to get into
the fall selling season, and things have been mighty hectic.
It's raining a little this
morning, from the hurricane, but it hasn't rained enough yet to really
make a difference. It's been very dry all month, and we definitely need
rain. On the other hand, the weather has been simply beautiful.
I saw a doe and two fawns
last Friday, and one of the fawns still had its spots. That surprised
me, this late in the year. The geese that visit the little quarry off
Cutcane Road have been back for a week, so I imagine that the fall migration
is getting under way. We've also seen some interesting songbirds coming
through.
Picking in the Park is over
for the year, at least officially. The publicity said it would run through
September, but Lisa Jacoby announced the end of the season in letters
to the editor of the Blue Ridge and Benton papers. It is expected that
folks will continue to gather there on Thursday evenings, until the
daylight gets too short. At least, that's what happened last year.
As we head into the fall selling
season, I think it's fair to say that prices have never been higher
and demand has never been higher, relative to supply. That's a wonderful
situation for sellers, of course, so if you have a piece of property
that you want to sell, there may never be a better time. This appears
to be a nationwide phenomenon - in resort markets, especially - and
it can probably be attributed largely to baby boomers preparing for
retirement. The bottom line, as I see it, is that prices will continue
to increase until either interest rates rise sharply or the US economy
hits a major snag.
That's about the news. Hope
to see you in town.
9/9/2005
It's finally dried out, and
we've been having some beautiful weather. It's been about 60° on
the porch in the morning, and afternoons have been around 80°. The
forecast continues good through this weekend. As of yesterday, the beach
at Morganton Point was still open, and the water has cooled off a little
bit without being too cold.
Gas prices here
are about what they are in Atlanta. Most stations are at $2.99, with
a few at $2.95.
Rick Tullis and
Steve Pfeiffer at Great Eats, the downtown deli, are having a benefit
for hurricane relief from 7:30-9:30 PM on Saturday the 24th. Tickets
are limited to 200 at $25 each. It will be held outside at the deli,
on the porch and on the lawn. Rick is known to be a pretty good cook,
and he lived in New Orleans for a number of years, so it's likely to
sell out this weekend. If you want a ticket, drop by the deli. I've
got mine. It's going to be a New Orleans menu, with all the provisions
donated, so that 100% of the proceeds will go to hurricane relief. There
will also be lots of items donated for auction by other downtown merchants.
We're trying to line up some appropriate music. If you would like to
donate items for auction, you can reach the deli at 632.3094.
Just a reminder that Picking
in the Park is winding down for the year, with just three more Thursdays
left in September. If you haven't been, it's worth a visit. See previous
columns (below) for more information and directions.
Last weekend was almost a
"lost weekend" for real estate, with our buyers seemingly
unsure what the gas shortage might mean for travel on the big weekend.
Other than that, the real estate market has continued incredibly strong
through the summer, which is usually a time when it tends to slow down
considerably. We continue to be hurting for inventory, so if any of
you are considering selling your property, now is an excellent time
to list. The fall is always our best selling season.
That's about the news. Hope
to see you in town.
8/31/2005
The remnants of Katrina have
blown out of here, leaving us with a pretty good forecast for the weekend.
The low temperatures are supposed to be in the low sixties, and the
high fifties later on, so I have some hope that the very wet weather
we've been experiencing all summer is about to change.
Don't forget the Labor Day
Barbecue in the park in downtown Blue Ridge. It starts at 11:30 and
they serve until they run out. The menu is barbecue sandwiches ($5),
or a platter with either chicken or ribs ($8), baked beans, pepper slaw,
and homemade dessert. It's always a good time, and the proceeds go to
charity.
Picking in the Park runs through
September. Last Thursday, there were about five groups playing in different
places, and the music is always good. It brings out both the kids and
the old boys, and it's a very pretty setting. Take along dinner and
a lawn chair. Ron Henry Horseshoe Bend Park is just south of McCaysville,
on the River Road. From McCaysville, go south on 60 for about a mile
to the first right, just before the tracks (River Road). Continue on
a few miles to the entrance of the park on the right.
While you're out there, you
can go down to the end of Williamstown Road, the first left off River
Road, and see my listing on Wolf Creek, a seasonal trout stream. It's
2.6 acres for $99,900. It has been reduced from its former full retail
price of $119,900 because the owner wants to purchase another property.
It's one nice piece of trout stream, in a beautiful pasture setting.
MLS 113446.
If you've been following the
road fight, you know that the mountain counties are unanimously opposed.
If you haven't familiarized yourself with the issues, you might visit
www.stopi-3.org. There's some good info there, along with various newspaper
accounts and opinions.
Hope to see you at the barbecue!
8/30/2005
Just a quick update on Tuesday,
at about 2:30 PM. We've had some high winds and rain, but damage last
night was fairly minimal. There have been some power outages, and the
roof of the Appalachia Church, close to 515 and Loving Road, was damaged.
There are some trees down on the back roads, but I haven't seen anything
big that was down. All in all, it wasn't as bad as most of us expected.
8/23/2005
We've had a few days without
rain, and things have dried out a little. It continues to be very humid,
and most of us are hoping that we'll get some different weather in September.
I've talked a little in previous
columns about the Fannin's Future, the public policy alliance that has
done good work in bringing a number of issues to the forefront for public
debate and action. They are now recommending an alternative to the current
county commission structure. Presently, there are two part-time commissioners,
with the third commissioner, the county chairman, serving full-time
as the day-to-day chief executive officer of the county.
As I've mentioned before,
the commission is currently polarized, with Randy Collins and Steve
Morris opposing pretty much everything Dr. Richard Vollrath, the county
chairman, supports. There also appears to be a behind the scenes power
struggle taking place, with Collins issuing orders to county departments
that contradict Vollrath's. This points out the crucial importance of
the county commission election in the fall, as Vollrath has said he
will not run again. This leaves us with the very real possibility of
taking a significant step backwards, if a strong progressive candidate
does not appear to take Vollrath's seat.
The idea of the Fannin's Future
organization is that the county would be better served by five part-time
commissioners and a professional county manager. To promote this idea,
the organization is holding three public forums, all of which will be
held at the County Courthouse, in the Jury Room. The schedule is September
13 at 6:30, September 27 at 5:00, and September 29 at 6:30. If the idea
appears to have broad acceptance, the next step would be to lobby state
representative David Ralston to take the issue before the state legislature.
If good government is one of your issues, you might want to attend one
or all of these forums.
The Labor Day Barbecue
is coming up in the downtown park. This is a big event that requires
many volunteers, especially to man the pits the night before the barbecue.
After all, it's a 40 foot grill, fired by coals from the replenishment
pit. It all starts with a Community Worship Service followed by an Ice
Cream Social on September 4th at the First Baptist Church downtown.
The worship service starts at 5 PM, followed by the Social at 6 PM.
At 7 PM, the work begins. The barbecue is served from 11:30 on the 5th
until the food runs out. It's either chicken or pork ribs with baked
beans, no-mayo pepper slaw, homemade desserts, and tea for $8.00. There
are also sandwich plates for $5.00. There are usually some pretty good
bands on the bill, and it's all a benefit for the Good Samaritan Committee.
For more info or to volunteer, 706.455.3818.
8/16/2005
It's been a lot drier,
with much less rain than we've had lately. At least, it isn't raining
every day. It has continued humid, however, and temperatures have been
pretty high by our standards. Yesterday afternoon, it hit 86° on
my deck, and it was very warm in the sun. We're still in this self-perpetuating
afternoon thunderstorm cycle, and there doesn't appear to be any end
in sight.
The local authorities
have retrieved a Polk County school bus from the lake at Morganton Point.
The funny thing is that it took the authorities weeks to locate it,
while just about every kid on the street knew exactly where it ended
up.
We're continuing
to see some activities related to the upcoming county council election.
There is a group going by the name "Sixth Alliance," which
is seeking to continue the work done by the "Fannin Six" on
planning for future growth. This would be the "green" alliance,
so to speak. In other words, these are the people, like Jackie O'Connell
and Steven Miracle, who want to find a way to keep the county green
and beautiful in the midst of the explosive growth that we've been experiencing.
They are asking for people who want to serve on the committee to call
Kristin Gunia at 706.632.4450.
The Cherokee Bluegrass
Festival is on this weekend over in Cherokee, North Carolina. Ralph
Stanley is the headliner and Mac Wiseman, Rhonda Vincent, and Del McCoury
are also on the bill. Their address on the web is www.aandabluegrass.com.
I had the privilege of seeing a lot of the great bluegrass players back
in the 60s at the University of Chicago Folk Festival, but I've recently
realized that most of these people are reaching a certain age. We lost
Jimmy Martin this spring, just before he was to headline the festival
up in Bean Blossom, and it just may be time to take yourself and your
kids to see some of these legendary performers before it's too late.
Fannin County has
recently passed a new sign ordinance. Among other things, it promises
fines for people who place signs on utility poles. This might be your
chance to clean up your neighborhood. If you want to report a violation,
you can call Land Development at 632.8361.
That's about the
news. Hope to see you in town!
8/8/2005
It started to rain
again this last weekend, after a period of more or less dry weather.
Temperatures have been cooler, with the mornings around 65° and
the afternoons in the low 80s.
The road fight is
on, because the transportation bill that was recently passed by Congress
funds the feasibility study. From what I am hearing, this is going to
be a very tough one to beat. The proposed route has been purposely left
obscure, but it seems to go from Savannah to Augusta, then through Toccoa
and Young Harris, Murphy, and Robbinsville - then to Knoxville. I think
that it's pretty clear that there's no need for that road, which takes
all of 15 miles off the existing interstate from Savannah to Knoxville.
It's a welfare project for the contractors - excuse me, a "pork
barrel project." I know that there are some people here who are
just delighted that it isn't going through Blue Ridge - although that
isn't really clear - and are rubbing their hands together in anticipation
of the higher traffic counts. That's as may be, but there's also such
a thing as killing the goose that laid the golden egg. If you're interested
in learning more, there are some good press releases on www.stop1-3.org.
7/30/2005
It has continued
wet, but a little drier than it has been. It rained pretty hard two
nights ago, and the creeks are swollen again. Trout fishing is probably
dubious this weekend, except in the tail race of the dam.
The young turkey
are about the size of a tall grouse, and most of the fawns are still
spotted. They've been able to walk for a few weeks. I've seen many bunnies
about the size of a fist, so the wet weather does not seem to have hurt
the wildlife. It certainly hasn't hurt the weedy vegetation, although
the farmers are complaining about things like cabbage rotting in the
fields. I certainly can't remember it being this wet at this time of
year.
There are still some
blackberries around. You can scroll back a few newsletters for the famous
recipe.
We saw Jesse McReynolds
over at the Georgia Mountain Fair in Hiawassee, and he put on a good
show with Charles Whitstein singing in Jim's old spot. Saturday and
Sunday are the last days for the summer fair. It's well worth going
for the music, the concessions, and the historic cabins and farm implements.
There's pretty much something there for the whole family, and you can't
argue much with a $7 admission charge. They're on the web at www.georgia-mountain-fair.com.
The real estate market
continues strong, despite the fact that we're in the dead of summer.
It's a great time to list property, because listing prices are definitely
up, and there's a real scarcity of listings.
That's about the
news. Hope to see you in town!
7/21/2005
It's continued wet, but not
as wet as it has been. It looks like the threat of flooding is mostly
over for the time being, and the weather is supposed to clear up some
this weekend. Temperatures have been between 66 and 85° degrees.
In other words, not that hot, but rather humid.
The news from the U.S. Census
is rather shocking. Fannin County was tenth in the nation for housing
growth from July 2003 to July 2004. It isn't terribly clear to me how
this is measured, and I suspect it may have something to do with historic
underreporting of the second home market in our parts, but it is still
unexpected news. Tenth in Georgia, I might have anticipated. Tenth in
the USA is a little bit different. Supposedly, this represents a growth
rate of 6.9%. Perhaps this new stat will have a little positive effect
on the folks who insist that we don't have to plan for growth, because
the way we always did things is fine. One can always hope.
In the ever-popular
"Fannin Follies," Tom McKevitt reports in a letter to the
editor of the News Observer that our elected commissioners are at each
other's throats again, with Collins alleging that Vollrath wrongfully
gave some county employees permission to take a free ride on the railroad,
at the railroad's invitation. In return, Vollrath reportedly alleged
that Collins and Morris told Land Development to void properly issued
littering citations and that Collins ordered a road paved outside the
county, which would be illegal. It's hard to tell what is really happening,
because this wasn't reported in the newspaper, which is another story.
But I'm confident that our elected officials are really spending most
of their time intelligently managing for future growth. If you're not,
you might want to consider voting in the commission election this fall.
With Vollrath saying that he won't run again, there's a good chance
that we will go significantly backwards with the next commission, unless
more people get involved in the process.
Picking in the Park
continues every Thursday evening at Ron Henry Park. From the McDonald's,
go north on Hwy. 5, cross the river at McCaysville, go right on Hwy.
60 south for .5 miles, and turn right on River Road. The park is on
the right, at Horseshoe Bend. Bring your dinner and a lawn chair.
Jessie McReynolds
is headlining the bluegrass program at the Georgia Mountain Fair in
Hiawassee, July 28. Two shows, 2 PM and 8 PM. 706.896.4191 or www.georgia-mountain-fair.com.
7/13/2005
The rain has continued,
but so far, we don't have any significant flooding. That's probably
just because the rain has been intermittent. The creeks are definitely
full, and we're worried. The dam is spilling water until further notice,
and the people in McCaysville and Copperhill have good reason to stay
alert.
The Polk County News
carried a story recently to the effect that Intertrade is surrendering
their sulphuric acid permit. So far, Tennessee officials are unable
to verify that assertion. They also said that they are continuing to
dismantle the acid plant for shipment to Brazil, but from the road,
it certainly doesn't look like it. The story also said that the smokestack
was going to remain, contrary to what the company said earlier. In my
opinion, it is not clear what is really happening, and buyers still
need to exercise caution in the immediate vicinity of the plant.
Today's Atlanta Journal-Constitution
carried an op-ed piece about the proposed I-3, a new interstate from
Savannah to Knoxville. One of the routes runs through Young Harris and
the other through Rabin County. It is possible that it will also run
through the Smoky Mountain Park. I think it is reasonably clear that
there is no real need for that road, which takes all of 15 miles off
the existing route. It is being sold - of course - as essential for
national security and as a solution to Atlanta's traffic problems. In
fact, it is a welfare program for road contractors that will do little
to alleviate Atanta's congestion problems. I'm sure some people in the
local real estate business will welcome anything that increases our
traffic count, but there is also such a thing as killing the goose that
laid the golden egg. Those of you who love the mountains for themselves
and plan to continue to live here might well have to step up to the
plate for yet another bruising road fight. HR 301, a bill to require
a study and report, was sponsored by Charles Norwood (R-GA) and has
been endorsed by Senator Johnny Isakson (R-GA). It was referred to the
Highways, Transit, and Pipeline subcommittee on 1/26/2005.
7/7/2005
It's been very rainy
and humid, unseasonably so. Most of the old time residents I've talked
with say that they can't remember it being this soggy at this time of
year. It rained slow and steady all night, and the creeks are near the
flood stage. So far, I haven't heard of any flooding, but there's no
real change in the forecast, as far out as you look.
With all this rain,
it's a good idea to be on the lookout for snakes. When it gets this
wet, some of them will be driven from their usual hiding places, and
may fetch up in the yard or on the footpaths.
I posted the blackberry
margarita recipe in the last column. The blackberries don't like the
rain very much, but we were able to gather more than a quart in an hour
or so over the weekend.
It seems to have
been a good year for the quail, judging by the calls I hear from my
porch. There's a place I pass on my way home that has always had a covey
of quail, and I saw an interesting thing yesterday afternoon. There
were two young quail feeding by the side of the road. They were pretty
much full grown, but their necks looked a little long for their bodies,
and the white patch on their neck was still a little yellow. When I
stopped to watch them, they got a little nervous and - with some difficulty
- flew up about twenty feet into a nearby tree. After a little while,
they wanted to come down, but they seemed to be nervous about being
so far from the ground. So they hopped down various tree limbs until
they were only about ten feet off the ground. Then they flew off into
the nearby heavy cover. As I went on up the road, I saw a grey squirrel
with a gigantic white mushroom in its mouth. It seemed appropriate,
the way things have been going.
The real estate market
continues very strong, especially for this time of year. It's a very
good time to list your property, if you're thinking of selling, because
every real estate company in town is down on listings. We've already
had a seller's market for the past number of years, and that just makes
the market even more favorable to sellers.
7/1/2005
It's continued warm
and humid, with patches of rain. I've seen the first ripe blackberries,
although most of them still have a ways to go. If you can find some
bushes that get good sun, you may find enough to gather.
Just in case, here’s
the famous recipe. I hear it’s great, although we’ve never
tested it ourselves, of course.
2 cups berries
2 cups ice cubes
½ cup fresh lime juice
¾ cup white tequila
¼ cup sugar
Buzz the berries
in the blender. It's best if the berries have been washed and cooled
in the refrigerator for a little while. It's also a good idea to have
the tequila cold. Strain the seeds, if you care about these things (they
tend to fall to the bottom of the glass, anyway). Add the other ingredients.
Either buzz it again with the ice or serve it on the rocks. If it isn't
cold enough, you may want to refrigerate the mixture for a bit. Yes,
it does need all that lime to taste like a margarita. Enjoy!
The News Observer
reports much comment on animal control at the county council meeting,
but no action taken. Now is the time to make your opinion known on this
subject.
Fireworks
and other foolishness:
July 2, Blue Ridge, Old Timer's
Day Parade starts at 10:00 AM. Participants should line up no later
than 9:30 at North Georgia paper. Info, Ann Seay, 706.455.1464
July 2, fireworks and celebration
at the Blue Ridge marina all day, street dance at 4:00 PM with Burning
Desire band. Fireworks at dark. In my opinion, the best place to watch
the fireworks is from Morganton Point. That's down the road that lies
just to the side of Sarge's store (formerly Bradburn's).
July 2, McCaysville. Fireworks
from Tater Hill at 9:30 PM.
July 2, Ducktown. Pancakes
from 7:00-10:00 at the Hoist House. Children's parade with music by
Troy Simmons on Main Street at 10:00 AM. Masonic Lodge bean soup and
cornbread 11:00-2:00. Street party with live music, 8:00 to midnight.
July 4, traditional Fourth
of July in Epworth: Pancake breakfast 8:00 - 10:00 AM at the Epworth
Building above the campus in Epworth. Car show, bingo, sunking pond,
concessions, ice cream, and homemade cake sale, hay rides, children's
activities, 10:00 - 3:00 PM across from the Methodist church. Patriotic
program followed by bluegrass by Ducktown Station begins at noon.
That's about the news! Hope
to see you in town!
6/24/2005
The weather has continued
a little rainy, on and off, with mostly beautiful days. We went swimming
in the lake yesterday, which was just about the prefect temperature.
The blackberries are still in the small, red stage. They don't seem
to like the rain very much. But it looks like there will be a pretty
good crop, if we get enough sun to ripen them.
Cynthia and I went
to Picking in the Park for the first time this year. It's held in Ron
Henry Park up in McCaysville from 6 PM to dark every Thursday (see directions
below). It looks to be off to a good start this year. Toward the end,
there were three separate groups performing, and we had a very good
time. If you go, it's a good idea to bring a lawn chair.
The latest news from
Fannin is that the Forest Service is closing one of the campgrounds
on the lake. They are still "evaluating" the idea of closing
the Blue Ridge office, but it seems to be a foregone conclusion, because
they have said they are going to consolidate the Blue Ridge and the
Blairsville operations, and the Blue Ridge office is leased. They own
the Blairsville office.
The war over animal
control continues, and the Fannin Future organization has issed their
recommendation for restructuring the county commission. They favor a
full-time county manager, and five part-time commissioners.
The real estate numbers
are rather shocking. Our company's sales are up 49% over last year (through
May). Sale prices were up 25% and properties went under contract 29%
faster. Obviously, it's a great time to list and sell. Just as obviously,
if you didn't buy yesterday, you probably should buy tomorrow. I can't
see this trend changing until we hit a real downturn in the economy
or a substantial rise in interest rates.
The people who advise
me on finances say that they really don't understand the fundamental
analysis - or that the fundamental analysis contradicts what is happening
- but they don't see a substantial rise in rates through this year.
That also seems to be the conclusion of most of the experts. My conclusion
is that the trend will probably continue. The main cause is scarcity.
The comparable value approach to appraisal says that people will pay
no more than they would have to pay to buy a comparable property. But
with everyone's listing inventory way down, there are far fewer comparable
properties. Thus, a seller's market - which we already had - becomes
even more so when listings are scarce.
6/17/2005
It's finally stopped raining
on us, and it's mostly dried out. The trout streams are running pretty
clear, and the high temperatures we had during the rain have cooled
off some. It was 62° on the porch this morning, and yesterday afternoon
was about 80°, with the sun on the porch. Looks like a beautiful
weekend in store.
The latest in the Fannin political
follies is a rather major blowup over animal control. For reasons known
only to the folks who set this up, we have an animal control budget
of over $100,000 and an animal control officer who does not have the
power to write citations. Nor does the sheriff's department want to
mess with it. This has been brought to a head by the repeated attacks
of a pack of wild dogs on livestock in Marble City. There's been some
amusing charges and counter-charges flying back and forth between the
Second Chance Animal Sanctuary and the county chairman, and a public
hearing is scheduled June 28, as a result of public comment at the last
county commission meeting. If you are interested in these issues, it
would be a good meeting to attend, as there may actually be some momentum
at this point to get the issues resolved. In the meantime, everyone
should keep their dogs under tight control, because there are some folks
out there in the "shoot everything that moves" frame of mind.
Picking in the Park
has started for the summer. It's every Thursday after work in the Ron
Henry Park in McCaysville. The easiest way to get there is to go up
Hwy 5 to McCaysville and cross the river. Then turn right on Hwy 60
south. You go a few blocks and turn right on River Road. The park is
a mile or so upriver on the right. It's mostly bluegrass, and there
are some accomplished players who usually attend, including Lisa Jacoby,
who is a fine fiddler. She's resurrected an old song she learned from
one of the local natives titled, "The Muddy Road to Ducktown."
Be sure to ask for it.
Interest rates remain
amazingly low, and our market continues to be hot for both cabins and
land. If you are thinking of selling, now is a very good time, as we
are beginning to ramp up for the fall selling season, which is always
our best. Every real estate office in town is low on listings, which
makes every listing considerably more likely to be shown and to sell.
In addition, listing and sale prices are considerably higher than last
year. It's probably as good a time to sell as we're going to see in
the next little while, because if interest rates do rise, it will cool
our market to a certain extent.
That's about the
news. Hope to see you in town!
6/7/2005
It’s been very rainy,
and the forecast has rain in it for the next few days. We definitely
needed it, but at this point, we don’t really need any more. Temperatures
have been between 60 and 80°, with some nice sunny stretches in
with the rain.
According to the News Observer,
a pack of wild dogs has been terrorizing Marble City, which is just
off 60 north, between the four lane and Mineral Bluff. They’ve
killed some calves, and you definitely don’t want your dog tangling
with them. If you live in that vicinity, you should be aware that they’re
out there, apparently mostly at night. I imagine that they might get
as far as My Mountain to the east, by going down Cutcane Road, or to
Mineral Bluff itself.
The county elections are on
the horizon, and the most interesting development appears to be an initiative
to increase the number of commissioners from three to five. I believe
this is the proposal of the Fannin Future project. It wasn’t too
long ago that Fannin had a sole commissioner, but the present three-person
commission has been in place for some time. As it works on the ground,
the county chairman is the day-to-day chief executive officer of the
county, and the three commissioners meet to set policy, hear variance
requests, and do the official business of the county once a month. Dr.
Richard Vollrath, the current chairman, does not intend to run again,
which makes the coming election of paramount importance. Randy Collins
and Steve Morris do intend to run again, and at present, they form a
bloc that usually votes whichever way Vollrath doesn’t. With the
county chairman’s post up for grabs, this election will be crucial
for Fannin’s future.
As I explained in a previous
column (4/14/05), Yvonne McNeely, who usually voted with Vollrath, was
replaced by Morris in the last election. I suspect that the five-member
commission is being agitated primarily in the hopes that it will dilute
the Collins/Morris vote, which is not often in favor of change. (Collins
is a local builder, and Morris builds dirt track cars.) One of the issues
waiting in the wings is liquor by the drink, which insiders say Vollrath
is now ready to support. Insiders also say that Collins and Morris dare
not support it, because they intend to seek reelection. This is, of
course, a hot-button issue with the local Baptists, who simply shouted
down everyone else at the last public forum. (One of our resident wits,
Ace Hagebeck, observed in a letter to the editor that there sure seemed
to be a lot of foreigners at the meeting, because they didn’t
seem to understand that in America, everyone has the right to speak.)
It’s a moral issue with these folks. They don’t care if
we ever get some decent restaurants, because they aren’t going
to go to them anyway. Nor do they buy the pragmatic argument that people
drink much more when they brown bag than when they have to pay by the
drink. It’s just wrong, and they’re not going to stand for
it. Not in their town. There was some great preaching by the local divines
at that meeting, and that’s a fact.
There are bigger issues at
stake, of course, like land use. Most of the locals believe that zoning
is a communist plot to steal their property rights, and if you mean
by property rights what they mean by property rights, they’re
right. Needless to say, these folks don’t buy the urgency of doing
something – anything – to plan for future growth. (My father
used to say, “poor planning beats no planning.”) At least
one of their literary apologists seems to think that junk is beautiful.
Or else, he resents the outsiders so much that he’s willing to
put up with the junk, because it annoys them so much. By the way, that’s
the unfortunate key to a lot of the interactions between the planners
and the locals. Sooner or later, one of the local reprobates can’t
resist observing that a man has the right to do whatever he wants with
his own property, just because it irritates the planners so much. I’ve
learned not to take it seriously, but mostly, it gets them every time.
All I can say is, if you care
about these issues, you need to register to vote in Fannin County and
participate in the local elections. You can do it easily by absentee
ballot. Wherever you live, chances are that the situation is more stable
than Fannin County, going into the next election. Given that the second
home owners pay for most of the school and government budget, I think
they’re entitled to some representation. Unfortunately, the only
way to get it is to participate in the political process. That isn’t
what most folks come here to do, of course, but if you’re thinking
of ever retiring here, it might be worth your while.
5/23/2005
We had some rain
on Saturday and Sunday was a little gloomy on and off, but today is
a beautiful, warm day. I still have lady slippers and trillium, but
they are getting a little peaked. The laurel - not the mountain laurel
(rhodendron) - is in bloom. With the recent rain, the creeks are running
full, and everything looks very green. My apologies to my regular readers,
because that's all I have time for today in terms of an update!
5/16/2005
We finally had a
hard rain last Saturday night, so a lot of the pollen has washed down,
and I'm hopeful that it may be mostly over for the year. It was very
cool this morning, and with the cloud of pollen out of the air, it's
been just about a perfect day.
The spring selling
season is getting off to a very quick start. The biggest difference
that I see this spring is that everyone's listing inventory is much
smaller than usual at this time of year. That works to the advantage
of the seller, of course, because it means fewer properties are available
for comparison. According to our broker, our company listings for April
were priced an average of 40% higher than they were last April, and
our sales for April were 28% higher than last April. That's a fairly
limited sample, of course - we sold about 26 listings this April - but
it confirms what I'm seeing in the marketplace. The new golf development
is reportedly on track, and the word on the street continues to be that
the resort on the lake is a done deal. If those things come to pass
as expected, the reasonable conclusion is that property values should
rise. The bottom line, of course, is that it is a good time to be a
seller.
It was an interesting
week in Fannin County politics. One of the local docs, Raymond Tidman,
is now practicing at Piedmont Hospital's facility in Jasper, rather
than at Fannin Regional Hospital. That's at least 30 minutes down the
road, and the country medical director, Dr. Vollrath, who is also our
county chairman, has refused to authorize ambulance transfers. It would
clearly be an additional expense for the county and would stretch our
existing staff because of the much longer runs, but some uncharitable
people have pointed out that Dr. Vollrath sold his medical practice
to the hospital a few years ago. I think it's only fair to say that
If there's one thing that we have that most mountain counties don't
have, it's a near state-of-the-art EMS system, and that's been mostly
Dr. Vollrath's doing. He's had a special interest in EMS and has done
a lot for the county's EMS and for our emergency preparedness. I don't
know how the present dispute will be resolved, but I suspect that we
haven't heard the end of it.
Cynthia and I saw
a little bit of the Bluegrass Festival over at the Georgia Mountain
Fair on Friday, and were very impressed by Pine Mountain Railroad. As
is traditional, they worked with one vocal microphone, and they had
all the little dramatic effects down perfectly. They're an extremely
well-drilled unit. Just about the only thing that fell short of perfection
was the fact that they don't have a really killer soloist, although
Cody Schuler on mandolin and Matt Flake on fiddle were both pretty impressive.
It made us glad we took the time to go, because you never know what
you're going to hear at a bluegrass festival these days.
The Iron Horse Grill
in Copperhill has reopened under new management, and we have a new Mexican
restaurant in Blue Ridge, Guerrero, which is at 3608 First Street (the
old highway), up above the old downtown.
The beach is open
at Morganton Point.
That's about the
news. Hope to see you in town.
5/4/2005
It's warmed up some, and we've
had some very pretty days, chilly in the morning, fairly warm in the
afternoon.
The lady slippers on my property
finally came up - a little late this year - so I expect that the wildflowers
are up in most sections of the county. The Georgia Conservancy Guide
to the North Georgia Mountains, which is available at the Mountain Scholar
bookshop in downtown Blue Ridge, has some good suggestions for places
to find and photograph them. Cove forests have the richest soil, and
so they are usually likely suspects for wildflowers. Please remember
that they can't be successfully transplanted, and shouldn't be picked.
The native wildflowers can't compete with the aliens in disturbed soil,
so there are just fewer and fewer of them every year.
The dogwoods are
starting to wane, but the native azeleas are starting to bloom. All
in all, it's a very pretty time to view - and photograph - the county.
4/28/2005
It's been unseasonably cool,
and we've had some needed rain. The dogwoods are still in bloom, and
the forecast doesn't look bad for the weekend. My lady slippers still
haven't bloomed, but I expect that they will when it warms up a little
more. It's probably time to get up, if you want to see the dogwoods
this season.
The real estate business
is up and running for the season, and I'm already experiencing the usual
frustration of showing cabins to buyers on Friday and finding out that
they're already under contract by Monday. I can't emphasize enough that
we still have a seller's market in the mountains, not a buyer's market
like we've had in Atlanta for the past few years.
It's a very good
time to list your property, because with things selling so well, our
listing inventory is way down.
If you're looking
for view property, it's definitely time to get up, because the leaves
will be fully on the trees in another few weeks. At this point, the
woods have almost - but not quite - filled in.
The Polk County Ramp Festival
went pretty well last weekend, and my impression was that the music
was stronger than usual.
Copperhill is having their
Cinco de Mayo festival as usual, and the event seems to be growing year
by year. Things get started around 5:00 PM.
4/22/2005
I just have time
for a brief update. The dogwoods are at their peak, and the native azeleas
(the orange ones) are just starting to come. The pollen is also close
to its peak.
I was up in North
Carolina yesterday, helping gather ramps for the Polk County ramp festival,
and I can report that the ramp season is a little late and that the
native lilies are also a little late. Some of the trout lily and purple
trillium is in bloom, but the vast majority of the plants have yet to
bloom. It could be happening in Georgia, because it's a couple thousand
feet higher where we were in North Carolina, but the lady slippers on
my property haven't bloomed yet, either. I think it is probably going
to take a warm rain to bring them to bloom. Check the cove forests,
which are usually the best places for wildflowers. The Georgia Conservancy
Guide to the North Georgia mountains has some good suggestions. Remember
that it is illegal to gather the ramps themselves in Georgia or Tennessee.
I assume everyone knows not to disturb the native wildflowers. It's
illegal, and they die if you try to transplant them. Since the natives
will not grow in disturbed soil, it's important to leave the areas where
they grow as undisturbed as possible.
The Polk County Ramp Festival
is tomorrow, beginning at about 9:30 AM. That's breakfast with ramps,
eggs, white beans, and home fries. Sassafras root tea is usually available,
along with boiled peanuts. Also, if we gathered enough, there should
be some for sale. Go to my column archives for 4/21/03, for directions.
4/14/2005
Most of the dogwoods
on my property are either in bloom, or are about to bloom, depending
on how much sun they get. We're at about 2000 feet, and have mostly
northern and western exposure. The ridges with strong southern exposures
seem to be further along than we are, so I expect that this weekend
and next weekend will be the best for the dogwoods. This weekend might
be a tad early, but next weekend might be a tad late. Most of the hardwoods
are either in leaf, or well along towards being in leaf at this point.
The pollen is starting to get bad, but is still well behind Atlanta
this week.
We've gotten through
the first quarter of building inspections here in Fannin County, and
things seem to be going fairly well. There is a continuing controversy
over what the inspectors are being paid, because their $40,000 salary
is higher than that of most county officials. Our two inspectors are
not certified, but are supposed to achieve certification soon, and their
salaries appear to be somewhat higher than those of certified inspectors
in surrounding counties.
A lot of this goes
back to the last county commission election. Fannin has a three person
county commission, which some people would like to change. The county
chairman, Dr. Richard Vollrath, is the day-to-day "chief executive
officer" of the county, but he essentially lost his majority on
the commission with the replacement of Yvonne McNeeley with Steve Morris
at the last election. McNeeley usually voted with Vollrath, but Morris
usually votes with Randy Collins, who is the third commission member.
In effect, the present building inspectors were appointed by Collins
and Morris, who seem to regard them as an independent force in the county.
Vollrath seems to regard them as part of the Land Development department,
under his budget and his supervision. There are also those who worry
that the inspectors are not really independent of the commissioners
who appointed them, especially because Collins is a builder. It's fair
to say that Collins raised a few eyebrows when he said at a commissioner's
meeting that it would be OK to give the inspectors a gratuity. But it's
also fair to say that Vollrath raised some eyebrows when he first appeared
to support - and then opposed - the present salary structure.
Despite the resentment
over their salaries, which is normal local stuff, the system seems to
be working fairly well, at least as far as the builders are concerned.
Their main concern, of course, is construction delays, and these concerns
seem to have been largely addressed.
For people buying
lots, the process has become more expensive and complicated, because
people applying for a septic permit are now required to submit a blueprint
or drawing of the proposed structure and pay fees based on square footage,
starting at $400. This raises the cost of a septic permit from $50 to
at least $450, and makes it impractical for anyone but the end-user
to apply for the permit.
The problem we were
having with the health department refusing to issue letters of intent
for septic systems appears to have been resolved - at least temporarily
- by their decision to issue a similar document. From my seat on the
sidelines, it appears to be a face-saving decision. In effect, they
are still issuing the letters as they used to, but they're calling them
something different. They are supposed to be studying the matter for
a permanent solution, which is to be announced in several months.
4/9/2005
Just a quick update on Saturday,
the day of the adventure race. It rained off and on last week, which
at least kept the pollen manageable, and we've had some nice weather.
Today dawned very foggy, but it has since turned into a beautiful day.
They've changed some things about the adventure race, including putting
the teams - but not their support personnel - on the train to Cherry
Log. Teams should begin finishing the race between 2:00 and 4:00 today
at the downtown park. It's usually a pretty good time at the finish
line, even if you don't care about the race.
For those of you who aren't
familiar with adventure racing, the concept is sort of an extreme triathalon.
It's been good for tourism, because it brings 90+ four person teams
plus their support people to town for the weekend, and many teams come
up to practice for the race as well.
In terms of real estate, with
the start of the mountain season and some warm weather, things are starting
to move nicely, even though our inventory is still a little skinny from
a great fall selling season. If you want to see what's new on the market,
of if you want to check the last of the bargains left from last fall,
now is probably the time to come up and have a look.
4/3/2005
It's been a classic
spring weekend in the mountains. Saturday, it snowed a heavy, wet snow
that changed over to rain at mid-morning, and the rest of the day was
rainy, windy, and incredibly raw. This morning, it's a beautiful day,
and I expect the temperatures will be in the 60s. The sarvis (service
berry) on my property is in bloom, an indication that the wild cherry
and dogwood aren't too far behind. The sarvis is the earliest tree to
bloom up on the ridge, but it almost never fruits. Bo Eaton, the tree
man, told me that it brought fruit once in his father's lifetime, but
never has in his.
I've been getting
a lot of emails wishing me luck on the broker's exam, and I'm happy
to report that I passed it last Friday. I thought it was a tough test,
and going down to Atlanta twice a week for the course was a grind, so
I'm glad to have it out of the way. Everybody is asking me if I plan
to open my own company, but the truth is - remember, you heard it first
here - that I'm not planning to go anywhere. I intend to continue to
work here as an Associate Broker, because I think we definitely have
the best outfit in town for expertise, professionalism, and genuine
concern for our customers.
The Tennessee Department
of Environment and Conservation has sent their recommendation to the
EPA for the Intertrade sulphuric acid permit. It is on their website,
along with their predictably bureaucratic responses to everyone's public
health and safety concerns expressed through the public comment process.
Go to www.tdec.net and click on "Air Pollution." Then click
on "Public Participation Opportunities." The material is dated
April 1, 2005, and relates to Intertrade Holdings.
This completes a
long, agonizing process that began with TDEC essentially saying that
they had no grounds to deny the permit, and that the long-standing concerns
of local residents had no standing in the process. I have not had time
to dig very far into the documents, but the bottom line is pretty clear:
It's "back to the future" for the copper basin, given that
the state of Georgia sued Tennessee in the 1880s over pollution from
the plant.
On the other hand,
it isn't at all clear what is really happening, because Intertrade has
announced the sale of the existing acid plant to a concern that they
say will ship it to Brazil. This raises the possibility that Intertrade
plans to build a more modern acid plant on the site to replace the one
they're selling, but the company refuses to clairfy their plans.
Until it becomes
clear what their purpose really is, I will continue to advise buyers
to carefully evaluate property in the vicinity of the plant, which is
located just west of Copperhill, Tennessee, on the Ocoee River. I don't
know of any scientific study of the situation, so I suppose everyone
will just have to decide for themselves how far away is far enough.
If you could find a genuinely disinterested, older resident in the area
in which you are planning to buy, you could always ask if they ever
smelled sulphuric acid when the plant was last operating. I stress the
word "disinterested," because the immediate neighbors of any
lot for sale up here are apt to tell any prospective buyers anything
that will dissuade them from buying the lot, including the fact that
it is infested with poisonous toads and is the favorite midnight meeting
place of a horrible coven of transvestite werewolves that take special
delight in eating outsider flesh.
The Aska Adventure
Race is next Saturday, April 9. See the Chamber of Commerce website,
www.blueridgemountains.com, or the News Observer for details. It's usually
pretty much fun, even if you don't care about the race. Most of the
pre- and post-race festivities are in the downtown park this year.
3/23/2005
We had heavy rain
last night, and the creeks are swollen, but we missed the high winds
that were predicted. It's definitely spring in the mountains. I've seen
the first mourning cloak (butterfly), my own personal "start of
spring" signal, and the tree pollen is beginning to bother people
who are sensitive to it.
[Quick update Friday
3/25 on the trout streams: I've only had a chance to see Hemptown Creek,
but it is still badly stained as of this morning. The forecast for the
weekend also has a good chance of rain in it. Best bet for Saturday
morning may be the tailrace of the dam, which usually doesn't get stained.]
Turkey season comes in this
weekend along with trout, and lasts until May 15. For those of you who
need a little refresher in Woodcraft 101, the usually secretive and
wily, wild male turkey loses all sense of decorum when the mating season
comes, and you often find them talking their heads off on their roosts
or wandering along the roads. Usually, it’s a little too cool
in the mountains for the turkeys to go into the rut by opening day,
but I expect it will happen this year. As always, our population seems
to be good. I saw a flock of about 20 feeding in a pasture out on Cutcane
Road yesterday, and that's not an uncommon sight in our county.
In the Wildlife Management
Areas, there are specific days for turkey hunting. For these, check
specific areas at www.dnr.state.ga.us .
If you are out in the woods
during turkey season, I recommend a blaze orange cap. You should definitely
not wear purple. During mating season, turkeys will often gobble in
response to things like crow calls and owl calls. If you are out in
the woods and you hear these things, remember that it may be a turkey
hunter making those calls. If, after listening for a while, it sounds
real bogus, it's definitely a turkey hunter. Turkey hunters also sometimes
gobble in the hopes of attracting another male turkey who wants to fight.
Be cautious if you hear these sounds. Female turkeys talk, but do not
gobble. The male is most easily identified by the beard, which looks
like a small bunch of horse hair protruding from the chest that grows
to about four inches.
The best time to observe them
is probably shortly before dusk, a time the turkey hunters call “flying
up time.” When the shadows underneath the trees start to darken
such that a fox might sneak up on them, the turkeys fly up to roost.
It's amazing how they can fly up at such a steep angle. The old gobbler
will be with his harem, and he’ll generally be very talkative
right after flying up. The jakes, yearling males, will position themselves
on the fringes of the old gobbler’s territory, in the hopes of
attracting one of his females. They generally stay pretty quiet, but
you will usually hear them gobble once or twice just before dark. In
the morning, after it's light enough, the turkeys will fly down, and
you’ll often hear quite a bit of turkey talk at this point, as
the old gobbler pursues his females. The classic turkey hunting strategy
is to locate the roost at night and return before light the next morning.
The hunter sits with his back to a tree, and calls as a hen, hoping
to attract the gobbler. Hunters may also call as a gobbler, which often
brings the old gobbler running, but it is a very risky strategy, because
other hunters may be in the woods.
We're waiting for the other
shoe to drop on the Intertrade permit situation. According to the Tennessee
Department of Environment and Conservation, their recommendation should
be conveyed to the EPA tomorrow, simultaneously with their posting of
that recommendation on their website. That's www.tdec.net, click the
Air Pollution link, then click Public Participation Opportunities. If
it is there, it should have tomorrow's date.
It's spring in the mountains.
Hope to see you in town!
3/17/2005
It's been rainy and
chilly this week, but the mountains have been beautiful in the resulting
fog, both in the morning and at sunset. The dog and I flushed some woodcock
the other day on our morning walk, more indication that the early migrants
are coming back through.
The happy story about
the sale of the acid plant in Copperhill (reported below) has become
a little more complicated with the news that the Tennessee environmental
people have finally decided to send their recommendation to the EPA
on the required permit. Their recommendation is not known yet, but they
have said all along that they have no grounds to deny the permit. According
the the News Observer, a company spokesperson refused to comment on
whether the sale of the plant means that the company has no plans to
produce sulphuric acid. This raises the possibility that the company
is considering building a new plant to replace the one that they supposedly
sold, and speculation is rife about the actual state of affairs. In
view of this, it seems wise for prospective buyers in the Copperhill
area to continue to consider the possible effects of acid production
on their contemplated purchase.
Turkey and trout
season are about to come in, and the Aska Adventure Race is April 9.
The mountain season is about to begin, and you need to come up and experience
the mountains in spring. Hope to see you in town!
3/10/2005
We've had a couple of pretty
heavy snow flurries this week, harmless stuff that made the mountains
pretty but didn't create travel difficulties. This afternoon (Thursday)
it's a beautiful day, although it is a little chilly at 50°. I saw
a few buffleheads on the lake below Mercier's Orchards the other day,
so some of the early migrants are passing through.
Coach Barnes, the hunting
and fishing guru, reported a few weeks ago that he had heard the first
turkey gobble, an assertion I would question except for the fact that
I've seen all the turkey fans in his garage. The season starts on the
26th.
The most incredible news to
come out of Copperhill in a long while is that the sulphuric acid plant
owned by Intertrade has been purchased by an overseas concern and will
be shipped to Brazil. Unless there is something that we're not being
told, this ends the fight to prevent Intertrade from restarting sulphuric
acid production, a major victory for The Copperhill Preservation Society
and others who did not want to see production resumed. I have been advising
my clients to be careful of buying property in the vicinity of the plant
until this issue is resolved, and it appears to have been resolved by
this sale. The company is continuing with the sale of calcine to a Chinese
concern. While this raises some environmental concerns, calcine appears
to be fairly inert, and its loading and transport do not seem to involve
the same level of environmental concern. The calcine is being shipped
north by rail at this point, and the projection is that the process
will continue for the next 25 years.
The Aska Adventure Race is
coming up April 9. Once again, our company, Coldwell Banker High Country
Realty, will be a platinum sponsor, and the word on the street is that
the event will be "switched up" a little bit in an attempt
to shake up some of the teams who have developed a dominance in past
events. For one thing, it will begin downtown, not at the Shallowford
Bridge, and it is rumored to involve the train. This is a major event
for local tourism, and it's a good time at the finish line, even if
you don't care who won the race.
That's about the news. Hope
to see you in town.
2/25/2005
Just a brief update
on Friday afternoon. The weather is beautiful, with a spring-like feel.
Last week's heavy rains stopped at just the right time to avoid major
flooding, although there were some trees down in the Dial/Wilscot area.
The major news from
the county is that the health department has stopped issuing letters
of intent to issue a septic permit, creating very serious issues for
prospective buyers of land. We're working to try to understand the situation
and find some sort of remedy, but at the moment, the situation is still
in flux. I'll post more details as they become known.
2/21/2005
This is a brief update on Monday afternoon, February 21, to let everyone
know current conditions. We've had a few thunderstorms, complete with
pea-sized hail, and some high winds. There are many trees down in the
Dial and Wilscot Creek areas, and some of our creeks are at, or over,
flood stage. I personally observed Cutcane Creek, which is well over
the banks at its confluence with Hemptown Creek, and Hemptown Creek
itself, which is close. Long Creek, which goes into Cutcane at Lowrey
Road, is also beginning to flood. I understand that parts of the upper
Toccoa are also at flood stage. It appears at this point that the rain
is slacking off, but there is more rain in the forecast. I'm in real
estate school from early to late in Atlanta tommorrow, so I won't be
in a postion to update tomorrow. If you have a legitimate need to know
road conditions, Fannin 911 does not mind polite, brief calls to their
backdoor number, 706.632.6022, so long as they are not responding to
911 calls at the time.
The real estate business has
been a little slow with the bad weather, and we’re all scrambling
like crazy to try to rebuild our inventory after what’s been a
record-breaking year.
I’ve just listed a very
nice lot with fantastic water on Fightingtown Creek for $150,000 MLS
107251), and I still have the nearly six acres with a small bungalow
for $139,000 (MLS 103927). Hit my “Featured Listings” button
for details.
The task force to study land
use in Fannin has had another meeting. With the diversity of opinions
on the committee, it’s difficult to predict where this is going,
but if this is an issue you care about, I urge you to make your thoughts
known to the committee.
Indications are that the resort
on the lake is moving forward, but we are still awaiting official confirmation.
There was an interesting article
in the Chattanooga Times-Free Press yesterday or the day before on the
copper plant. Written by Ron Clayton, who is the person who usually
covers Copperhill, it was evidently a rewritten press release from the
company detailing how well they have performed on the terms of the consent
decree with the EPA. It cited watershed cleanup, and some other projects,
and claimed that 90% of the work had been completed. Unlike most legitimate
news articles in the mainstream press, it did not include any comment
from anyone critical of the company for balance, say from the Copper
Basin Preservation Society. I would gloss all this by saying that it
appears that the latest tactic that is being taken by those opposed
to the resumption of sulphuric acid production at the plant is to try
to get the EPA to revoke the consent decree under which the plant is
permitted to continue to operate in return for the cleanup. The theory
of the consent decree was that it was the greater good for the greater
number of people, but I take this article as evidence that there is
genuine concern on the part of the company that they are vulnerable
on this issue. I’ve long suspected that the reason the plant is
still operating is not because it is profitable, but because it is the
only to avoid the liability implicit in ownership of the site.
That’s about the news.
Hope to see you in town.
2/4/05
The ice storm that hit Atlanta
last weekend mostly missed us, although we did get some nasty weather.
The forecast for the weekend is for temperatures in the sixties and
sunny, so it looks like it is going to be a good one. I heard the peepers
for the first time last night, so spring can’t be that far behind.
The task force to study land
use met for the first work session last night, and there should be a
report on it in the News Observer on Tuesday. As I said before, each
commissioner appointed two people to the task force, and they certainly
cover the range of possible opinions, from very opposed to zoning to
very friendly towards it. If this is an issue of concern to you, you
might take it upon yourself to attend the meetings and/or make your
opinions known to people on the task force.
The newspaper also reported
that the Forest Service is studying the possibility of combining the
Blairsville and Blue Ridge offices. Since the Blue Ridge office is leased,
it isn’t too hard to figure out that what’s really on the
table is closing the Blue Ridge office. It’s hard to see that
as a positive thing for our town, but it isn’t clear that the
public has any real input into the process.
The Ninth Annual Blue Ridge
Writer’s Conference will be held March 18-19. The keynote address
is by mystery writer Kathy Hogan Trocheck (Mary Kay Andrews). Others
on the program are poet Jeff Daniel Marion, novelist Catherine Landis,
Mary Ann O’Roark, Jessica handler, Randall Williams, Susan Jones,
Tess Vannatia, Mary E. Lyons, Elizabeth Dulemba, and Susan Graham. Details
and registration information are available from the Blue Ridge Mountain
Arts Association, POB 1016, Blue Ridge, Georgia 30513, 706.632.2144.
That’s about the news.
Hope to see you in town.
1/28/05
We’re bracing
for an ice storm this evening (Friday), which seems appropriate, given
how the weather has been bouncing around lately. A couple of days ago,
it was 63° in Blue Ridge, and the next morning was back to 30°.
I’m famous for saying that I’ve seen the first day of spring
happen up here on February 1st, but it seems to be a pretty safe bet
that it won’t happen this year.
I got quite a shock
yesterday when Bo Eaton, of Bo’s Tree Service, told me that I
have more pine beetles on my property. We did some cutting two years
ago, in an attempt to save most of the pines, and apparently the evil
little boogers have survived what have been fairly mild winters (in
larvae form). I noticed a dead pine the other day, and I have no idea
when it died. But it looks like I’m in for another painful –
and expensive – round of tree cutting. I hadn’t heard anything
about them lately, and I pretty much assumed that the infestation was
over for another seven years. I sure wish I’d been paying more
attention.
It was a case of
more bad news, because I’d just discovered that I have a problem
with my septic field. This has caused me to learn much more about septic
systems than I ever wanted to know. According to Gary Bryant, one of
the local soil scientists, the environmentalist reports about two septic
system failures every month. In my case, it is apparently roots in the
septic field itself, not any problem with the tank. My system has been
in place since 1986, and it looks like it was placed too close to a
couple of large trees. Both the health department people and the septic
people tell me that there isn’t any way to repair a septic field,
and that the best thing to do is to replace it. The old systems were
pipe over gravel, and they have largely been replaced by a product called
Infiltrator, which is much larger diameter. It’s apparently much
more difficult for roots to penetrate, as well. The solution in my case
is to install another complete septic field, with a “bull run”
valve to allow eventual switching back and forth between the old and
new systems. (Apparently, in time the old septic field will be usable
again. There’s a “bio mat” that builds up under the
lines, and eventually it cures itself out and becomes permeable again.)
All this wonderfulness is supposed to set me back about $2000.
By the way, the recommendation
now is to have the system pumped every five years. Actually, that’s
for a full household, so if you are just coming up on the weekends,
chances are that you could wait a lot longer before having to pump.
It’s best to put a minimum of material down there, either through
the toilet or the garbage disposal. They tell me that pumping costs
about $300.
Hope you’re
having a better week than I am, home maintenancewise.
1/17/05
After about a week of afternoons
in the high 60s, the weather has bounced back cold. This morning (Monday)
it was about 14° on the deck, and it’s continued to be quite
cold, despite the fact that it’s a beautiful day.
The real estate business
has been fairly strong for a January, and for that, I credit the fact
that local mortgage rates have held steady at about 5.5% for 30 year
fixed. It’s a good time to list your property, because everyone’s
listing inventory is way down, due to the great fall selling season
we had last year.
The year-end numbers
are in, and once again, Coldwell Banker High Country Realty led our
entire MLS, the Northeast Georgia Board of Realtors, in sales. That’s
a six-county area and the numbers are impressive because some of our
competitors have significantly more agents.
With all the dubious news
about our national forests, it is nice that the Benton MacKaye Trail
Association has received permission to extend the trail into the Smoky
Mountains National Park. Because the association is still working on
adding 85 miles of trail in Tennessee and North Carolina to get to the
park from the Ocoee River, this section will utilize existing trails
and will be maintained by park personnel. The Smoky Mountains portion
will extend from the Twenty Mile Ranger Station in the southeast corner
of the park to the northeast boundary near Davenport Gap. The route
crosses the Appalachian Trail twice, at opposite ends of the park, which
creates a combined loop hike of almost 180 miles within the park. I’ve
probably said this before, but the excitement of the Benton MacKaye
situation for me is that members have the opportunity to do something
that is rarely done these days, which is to participate in the building
of a long-range trail. The Trail Association is on the web at www.bmta.org.
Work days for members are normally second and fourth Saturdays of the
month.
I’ve been talking
lately about two related issues, land use (zoning) and management of
the 515 corridor (setbacks, creating wooded buffers between the road
and the strip malls). The county commission has dealt with the land
use question by creating a study committee. Each commissioner picked
two members, and the choices range from the relatively “green”
to the relatively “pro-development.” Those appointed are
Deborah MacCarthy, Jackie O’Connell, John Foster, Jim Sisson,
Barry Ross, and George Woodruff. All I can say is, if you are interested
in these issues, make your opinion known.
Fannin County now
has both building inspectors and building inspections, which is a major
step in the right direction for the county, which was previously only
one of four Georgia counties that did not enforce building codes. The
main concern from the reputable builders was, of course, construction
delays, and the new inspectors have pledged to work as quickly as possible.
They are given 48 hours for foundation inspection, for instance, but
they have pledged to try to turn them around in a day.
That about rounds
up the news. Hope to see you in town!
1/7/05
It’s been unseasonably
warm lately, and we’ve had a little rain. It seems that the warm
weather will hold through the weekend, although there’s more rain,
on and off, in the forecast.
The real estate business has
been fairly brisk so far in the new year, and it looks like we will
have a fairly busy January. Interest rates have held steady over the
past few months, and that is good news for both buyers and sellers.
I expected rates to rise after the election, but the last rate quotes
from the Bank of Hiawassee/Blairsville/Blue Ridge are still at 5.5%
for conforming conventional, 30-year fixed. If rates stay on or around
this point, I expect that the real estate market will continue very
strong in 2005. I don’t think that a modest rise will affect things
much, but I continue to think that if rates rise sharply, that it will
have a chilling affect on our market.
After the holidays, most agents
focus on rebuilding their inventory, which tends to be pretty well depleted
after the busy season. If you are thinking of selling your property,
this is an excellent time to get it on the market, because there are
relatively fewer good properties in inventory at this time of year than
at other times. For instance, I did a search for someone yesterday who
wanted a log or log-sided cabin, two bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a few other
things. The search returned eight properties that hit the grid, about
a third of the number I expected. If you’ve been thinking about
selling your property, please give me a call. There’s no obligation,
and I should be able to give you a good idea of what your property is
worth in today’s market.
As I said last time, we’re
continuing to talk about the issue of zoning here in Blue Ridge. Various
points of view have been shared in the newspaper and in public meetings.
With the growth that we anticipate in the next few years, this is probably
our number one issue, and it is one that concerns all second home owners
in the area. You can keep up on these things to a certain extent on
the newspaper’s website www.thenewsobserver.com, or by reading
the newspaper. The next meeting of the county commission is Tuesday,
January 11, at 5 PM in the Jury Assembly Room at the courthouse. I expect
the issue will be discussed there, as the county chairman has stated
that he will attempt to try to move the issue forward. All interested
parties should try to attend.
That’s about the news.
Hope to see you in town!
12/21/04
It’s been rather cold by our standards, and we had a little snow
Sunday night. It was a light snow, and I think some of the areas of
the county over toward North Carolina had up to two or three inches.
Where I am, we probably had about an inch. Travel wasn’t too bad
by mid-day Monday, except for those folks on top of the ridge. I got
down with not too much trouble, but it was a little tougher getting
back up, and it wouldn’t have made it after dark, when it refroze.
I think we’re finally
within sight of straightening out the problems with my website, and
I want to apologize again to anyone who was frustrated while trying
to use it.
The real estate business seems
to be settling down a little bit before the holidays, but I expect that
we’ll see pretty good activity this January. Our experience with
January has been a bit mixed, but for the past few years, it has been
one of our best months. It’s a good time for people who are looking
for land to come up, because the leaves are off the trees, and you can
really see the views and the lay of the land. There are still some good
cabin listings out there, and our sellers sometimes get a little more
motivated at this point in the year.
As I look back on the year
in Fannin County, we’ve made some real progress in several areas.
Most noteworthy, we are finally set to enforce building codes this January.
This was a long process, but in the end, I think even most of the builders
who were opposed came to see that it was long overdue. After all, we
were one of only four counties in Georgia that didn’t enforce
building codes, and we were attracting some unsavory builders as a result.
It remains to be seen, of course, whether the people who are hired to
do the job will actually do it impartially and correctly, but there’s
no doubt that it’s something we needed.
There has also been an increasing
awareness that Atlanta is knocking on our door, and that we need to
plan seriously for the future if we want to keep the things that make
the mountains unique. Fannin County’s projected population growth
is from the current 20,000 residents to 32,000 by 2025, and some 5,000
new homes are expected to be built in this period. The county is still
42% national forest, so the issue isn’t necessarily loss of green
space.
But we do have some issues.
We’ve had a series of meetings on land use, including management
of the 515 corridor, during which a variety of consultants have explained
as reasonably as possible that we need to plan, or bad things will inevitably
happen. However, we continue to have an element that honestly sees all
this planning talk as a smokescreen for taking away their God-given
rights. That is, the right to do whatever they want with their own property.
And, there are some legitimate issues here. For instance, we now have
a golf development planned in what was a farming neighborhood. Should
the farmers, who were there first, be required to move or modify their
operations because the people in that subdivision don’t like the
smell of chicken houses? Or should it fall on the people who develop
the subdivision to provide the necessary buffer? That one seems easy
to me, but we have elected officials who honestly feel that if someone
wants to build a stock car racetrack in the middle of an established
subdivision, that’s OK, because a man has the God-given right
to do anything he wants with his own property. People who take zoning
for granted see this as an incredible point of view, but it is one that
has to be engaged if anything constructive is going to come of this
process.
All I can say is that if you
care about these issues, the folks who are working on them could sure
use some support. If more people would just come to the meetings, it
would make a difference. Often times, there is simply a failure to communicate
across the divide presented by these different points of view. As I’ve
said many times before, second home owners should consider registering
to vote in Fannin County, especially if they plan to retire here. It
gives you a voice in local government, and you can always vote absentee,
which the county actually makes easy.
Best wishes to you and yours
for a wonderful holiday season!